Nintendo has recently released what industry analysts are describing as a "conservative" sales forecast for the upcoming Nintendo Switch 2, amidst the backdrop of ongoing uncertainty regarding tariffs. In its financial report released this morning, Nintendo anticipates selling 15 million units of the Switch 2 and 45 million game copies by the end of its financial year on March 31, 2026. The Switch 2 is set to hit the shelves on June 5.

The company's forecast is based on the assumption that the current U.S. tariff rates, which were implemented on April 10, will remain unchanged throughout the fiscal year. However, Nintendo acknowledges that any adjustments to these tariffs could impact their projections. "We will continue to monitor the situation to respond to changes in market conditions," stated Nintendo.

Daniel Ahmad, Director of Research & Insights at Niko Partners, labeled the projected 15 million sales as "conservative." In a tweet, Ahmad suggested that Nintendo is taking into account the unpredictability surrounding tariffs, pricing, and production, despite strong pre-order momentum. He further elaborated that Nintendo might revise its forecast upwards should the tariff situation improve. However, he pointed out that the main challenge at present is the ripple effects already set in motion, complicating the environment for the console's launch and the looming threat of further tariff increases.

It's noteworthy that if the Switch 2 achieves the forecasted 15 million sales in its inaugural year, it would rank among the most successful console launches in history, surpassing the original Switch's first-year sales of 14.87 million units.

Demand for the Switch 2 appears to be exceptionally high. Following a delay caused by tariffs, pre-orders for the Nintendo Switch 2 commenced on April 24, with the console priced at $449.99. The response was as overwhelming as one might anticipate. Additionally, Nintendo has issued a caution to U.S. customers who pre-ordered through the My Nintendo Store, indicating that delivery on the release date is not guaranteed due to the intense demand.

For more detailed information, you can refer to IGN's Nintendo Switch 2 pre-order guide.